Sunset Market Commentary – Action Forex

Markets This morning, it initially looked that risk premia at the ultra-long end of the yield curve could remain the focus for markets. The Japanese 10-y yield tested the cycle /YTD top levels near 1.6%. The 30-y yield even touched an all-time top near 3.21%. However, this time were no spillovers to markets outside Japan. … Read more

Dollar Selloff Stalls Before NFP Test: Calm Before the Shock?

Dollar is pausing its recent slide as markets brace for today’s Non-Farm Payrolls report, but its recovery remains shallow. Barring its gains against the troubled British Pound, the greenback remains broadly weaker against major currencies for the week. Traders are increasingly wary of a downside surprise in the jobs report, which could revive speculation that … Read more

Dollar Rebounds as Solid NFP Eases Urgency for Fed Action

Dollar rebounded in early US session following the better-than-expected June non-farm payrolls report, further reversing much of the week’s earlier weakness. While not a blowout, the report showed a labor market that remains fundamentally resilient, and significantly reduces pressure on the Fed to pull the trigger at the July meeting. Fed Chair Jerome Powell and … Read more

Trump’s BRICS Threat Rattles Aussie and Kiwi

Australian and New Zealand Dollars fell sharply to start the week, leading losses alongside Yen. The moves come just ahead of central bank meetings in both countries, with RBA widely expected to cut rates by 25bps to 3.60% and RBNZ likely to hold at 3.25%. But given how well those outcomes are priced in, the … Read more

Tariff Pressures Lifts Dollar, RBA Cut and Guidance in Spotlight

Dollar is outperforming across the board as markets enter into US session, which trade war risks continue to dominate market attention. With the July 9 tariff truce deadline fast approaching, The Trump administration shifted to a confrontational stance, offering “take-it-or-leave-it” tariff deals. According to Treasury Secretary Bessent, failure to reach agreements would result in tariffs … Read more

Markets Unfazed by Trump Tariff Letters; Kiwi Outshone by Aussie ahead of RBNZ Hold

Global equity markets traded cautiously and remained stable on Tuesday, showing limited reaction to escalating US trade threats. Major European indexes moved in narrow ranges following modest gains in Asia, while US equity futures stayed flat. The restrained response suggests markets are neither complacent nor panicked as they assess the credibility and timing of new … Read more